Authors
Joshua Goldstein, Wolfgang Lutz, Maria Rita Testa
Publication date
2003/12
Journal
Population research and policy review
Volume
22
Pages
479-496
Publisher
Kluwer Academic Publishers
Description
Period fertility started to drop significantly below replacement in most Western European countries during the 1970s and 1980s, while most fertility surveys, value studies and opinion polls have found that the number of children considered ideal for society or for one's own family has remained above two children per woman. These surveys have led to the expectation that, sooner or later, period fertility would recover in Europe. The most recent data from the Eurobarometer 2001 survey, however, suggest that in the German-speaking parts of Europe the average ideal family sizes given by younger men and women have fallen as low as 1.7 children. This paper examines the consistency and the credibility of these new findings, which – if they are indeed indications of a new trend – may alter the current discussion about future fertility trends in Europe.
Total citations
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Scholar articles
J Goldstein, W Lutz, MR Testa - Population research and policy review, 2003