Authors
James W Kirchner
Publication date
2006/3
Journal
Water resources research
Volume
42
Issue
3
Description
The science of hydrology is on the threshold of major advances, driven by new hydrologic measurements, new methods for analyzing hydrologic data, and new approaches to modeling hydrologic systems. Here I suggest several promising directions forward, including (1) designing new data networks, field observations, and field experiments, with explicit recognition of the spatial and temporal heterogeneity of hydrologic processes, (2) replacing linear, additive “black box” models with “gray box” approaches that better capture the nonlinear and non‐additive character of hydrologic systems, (3) developing physically based governing equations for hydrologic behavior at the catchment or hillslope scale, recognizing that they may look different from the equations that describe the small‐scale physics, (4) developing models that are minimally parameterized and therefore stand some chance of failing the tests that they …
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