Authors
Kevin Goebbert, Hank C Jenkins-Smith, Kim Klockow, Matthew C Nowlin, Carol L Silva
Publication date
2012/4/1
Journal
Weather, Climate, and Society
Volume
4
Issue
2
Pages
132-144
Publisher
American Meteorological Society
Description
This paper analyzes the changes Americans perceive to be taking place in their local weather and tests a series of hypotheses about why they hold these perceptions. Using data from annual nationwide surveys of the American public taken from 2008 to 2011, coupled with geographically specific measures of temperature and precipitation changes over that same period, the authors evaluate the relationship between perceptions of weather changes and actual changes in local weather. In addition, the survey data include measures of individual-level characteristics (age, education level, gender, and income) as well as cultural worldview and political ideology. Rival hypotheses about the origins of Americans’ perceptions of weather change are tested, and it is found that actual weather changes are less predictive of perceived changes in local temperatures, but better predictors of perceived flooding and droughts …
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