Authors
Doris A. Behrens, Jonathan P. Caulkins, Gustav Feichtinger, Gernot Tragler
Publication date
2007
Book
Advances in Dynamic Game Theory. Numerical Methods, Algorithms, and Applications to Ecology and Economics
Volume
9
Pages
459-486
Publisher
Birkhäuser Boston
Description
This paper presents a dynamic game model of international terrorism. The time horizon is finite, about the size of one presidency, or infinite. Quantitative and qualitative analyses of incentive Stackelberg strategies for both decisionmakers of the game (“theWest” and “International Terror Organization”) allow statements about the possibilities and limitations of terror control interventions. Recurrent behavior is excluded with monotonic variation in the frequency of terror attacks whose direction depends on when the terror organization launches its terror war. Even optimal pacing of terror control operations does not greatly alter the equilibrium of the infinite horizon game, but outcomes from theWest’s perspective can be greatly improved if the game is only “played” for brief periods of time and if certain parameters can be influenced, notably those pertaining to the terror organization’s ability to recruit replacements.
Total citations
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Scholar articles
DA Behrens, JP Caulkins, G Feichtinger, G Tragler - Advances in dynamic game theory: numerical methods …, 2007