Authors
James-A Goulet, Armen Der Kiureghian, Binbin Li
Publication date
2015/1/1
Journal
Structural Safety
Volume
52
Pages
1-9
Publisher
Elsevier
Description
It is common to assess the condition of an existing infrastructure using reliability analysis. When, based on the available information, an existing structure has an estimated failure probability above the admissible level, the default solution often is to either strengthen or replace it. Even if this practice is safe, it may not be the most economical. In order to economically restore and improve our existing infrastructure, the engineering community needs to be able to assess the potential gains associated with reducing epistemic uncertainties using measurements, before opting for costly intervention actions, if they become necessary. This paper provides a pre-posterior analysis framework to (1) optimize sequences of actions minimizing the expected costs and satisfying reliability constraints and (2) quantify the potential gain of making measurements in existing structures. Illustrative examples show that when the failure …
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