Authors
Marianne Bertrand, Esther Duflo, Sendhil Mullainathan
Publication date
2004/2/1
Journal
The Quarterly journal of economics
Volume
119
Issue
1
Pages
249-275
Publisher
MIT Press
Description
Most papers that employ Differences-in-Differences estimation (DD) use many years of data and focus on serially correlated outcomes but ignore that the resulting standard errors are inconsistent. To illustrate the severity of this issue, we randomly generate placebo laws in state-level data on female wages from the Current Population Survey. For each law, we use OLS to compute the DD estimate of its “effect” as well as the standard error of this estimate. These conventional DD standard errors severely understate the standard deviation of the estimators: we find an “effect” significant at the 5 percent level for up to 45 percent of the placebo interventions. We use Monte Carlo simulations to investigate how well existing methods help solve this problem. Econometric corrections that place a specific parametric form on the time-series process do not perform well. Bootstrap (taking into account the autocorrelation of …
Total citations
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Scholar articles
M Bertrand, E Duflo, S Mullainathan - The Quarterly journal of economics, 2004