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We sought to develop prognostic risk scores for compensation-related stress and long-term disability using markers collected within 3 months of a serious injury.

Cohort study. Predictors were collected at baseline and at 3 months postinjury. Outcome data were collected at 72 months postinjury.

Hospitalised patients with serious injuries recruited from four major trauma hospitals in Australia.

332 participants who made claims for compensation for their injuries to a transport accident scheme or a workers’ compensation scheme.

12-item WHO Disability Assessment Schedule and 6 items from the Claims Experience Survey.

Our model for long-term disability had four predictors (unemployed at the time of injury, history of a psychiatric disorder at time of injury, post-traumatic stress disorder symptom severity at 3 months and disability at 3 months). This …