Authors
Kenneth A Froot, Paul GJ O’connell, Mark S Seasholes
Publication date
2001/2/1
Journal
Journal of financial Economics
Volume
59
Issue
2
Pages
151-193
Publisher
North-Holland
Description
This paper explores daily international portfolio flows into and out of 44 countries from 1994 through 1998. We find several facts concerning the behavior of flows and their relationship with equity returns. First, we detect regional flow factors that have increased in importance through time. Second, the flows appear to be stationary, but far more persistent than returns. Third, flows are strongly influenced by past returns, a finding consistent with positive feedback trading by international investors. Fourth, inflows have positive forecasting power for future equity returns, and this power is statistically significant in emerging markets. Fifth, the sensitivity of local stock prices to foreign inflows is positive and large. Sixth, prices seem consistent with flow persistence, in that transitory inflows impact future returns negatively.
Total citations
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Scholar articles
KA Froot, PGJ O'connell, MS Seasholes - Journal of financial Economics, 2001