Authors
Cristian Perez-Granados, Bernd Lenzner, Marina Golivets, Wolf-Christian Saul, Jonathan M Jeschke, Franz Essl, Garry D Peterson, Lucas Rutting, Guillaume Latombe, Tim Adriaens, David C Aldridge, Sven Bacher, Ruben Bernardo-Madrid, Lluis Brotons, Francois Diaz, Belinda Gallardo, Piero Genovesi, Pablo Gonzalez-Moreno, Ingolf Kuhn, Petra Kutlesa, Brian Leung, Chunlong Liu, Konrad Pagitz, Teresa Pastor, Anibal Pauchard, Wolfgang Rabitsch, Helen E Roy, Peter Robertson, Hanno Seebens, Wojciech Solarz, Uwe Starfinger, Rob Tanner, Montserrat Vila, Nuria Roura-Pascual
Publication date
2023/12
Journal
People and Nature
Publisher
Wiley
Description
  1. Invasive alien species are one of the major threats to global biodiversity, ecosystem integrity, nature's contributions to people and human health. While scenarios about potential future developments have been available for other global change drivers for quite some time, we largely lack an understanding of how biological invasions might unfold in the future across spatial scales.
  2. Based on previous work on global invasion scenarios, we developed a workflow to downscale global scenarios to a regional and policy‐relevant context. We applied this workflow at the European scale to create four European scenarios of biological invasions until 2050 that consider different environmental, socio‐economic and socio‐cultural trajectories, namely the European Alien Species Narratives (Eur‐ASNs).
  3. We compared the Eur‐ASNs with their previously published global counterparts (Global‐ASNs), assessing changes in 26 …
Total citations
20243
Scholar articles
C Pérez‐Granados, B Lenzner, M Golivets, WC Saul… - People and Nature, 2024