Authors
William WL Cheung, Vicky WY Lam, Jorge L Sarmiento, Kelly Kearney, REG Watson, Dirk Zeller, Daniel Pauly
Publication date
2010/1
Journal
Global change biology
Volume
16
Issue
1
Pages
24-35
Publisher
Blackwell Publishing Ltd
Description
Previous projection of climate change impacts on global food supply focuses solely on production from terrestrial biomes, ignoring the large contribution of animal protein from marine capture fisheries. Here, we project changes in global catch potential for 1066 species of exploited marine fish and invertebrates from 2005 to 2055 under climate change scenarios. We show that climate change may lead to large‐scale redistribution of global catch potential, with an average of 30–70% increase in high‐latitude regions and a drop of up to 40% in the tropics. Moreover, maximum catch potential declines considerably in the southward margins of semienclosed seas while it increases in poleward tips of continental shelf margins. Such changes are most apparent in the Pacific Ocean. Among the 20 most important fishing Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) regions in terms of their total landings, EEZ regions with the highest …
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