| The signal and the noise: Why so many predictions fail-but some don't N Silver Penguin, 2012 | 2568* | 2012 |
| What is the probability your vote will make a difference? A Gelman, N Silver, A Edlin Economic Inquiry 50 (2), 321-326, 2012 | 151 | 2012 |
| Education, not income, predicted who would vote for Trump N Silver Five Thirty Eight 22, 2016 | 103* | 2016 |
| The mythology of Trump’s ‘working class’ support N Silver FiveThirtyEight, May 3, 2016 | 98 | 2016 |
| The most diverse cities are often the most segregated N Silver Five thirty eight, 2015 | 67 | 2015 |
| Who will win the presidency N Silver Np https://projects. fivethirtyeight. com/2016-election-forecast, 2016 | 58* | 2016 |
| How opinion on same-sex marriage is changing, and what it means N Silver The New York Times, 26, 2013 | 57 | 2013 |
| Which polls fared best (and worst) in the 2012 presidential race N Silver The New York Times 10, 2012 | 55 | 2012 |
| The Comey letter probably cost Clinton the election N Silver FiveThirtyEight, May 3, 2017 | 50 | 2017 |
| The real story of 2016 N Silver FiveThirtyEight. com, January 19, 2017 | 36 | 2017 |
| As Swing Districts Dwindle, Can a Divided House Stand? N Silver New York Times 28, 2012 | 36 | 2012 |
| Introducing pecota N Silver Baseball Prospectus 2003, 507-514, 2003 | 36 | 2003 |
| Public transit should be Uber’s new best friend N Silver, R Fischer-Baum FiveThirtyEight, 2015 | 35 | 2015 |
| How we calculate NBA Elo ratings N Silver, R Fischer-Baum Dostopno na: http://fivethirtyeight. com/features/how-we-calculate-nba-elo …, 2015 | 33 | 2015 |
| Obama’s Lead Looks Stronger in Polls That Include Cellphones N Silver FiveThirtyEight, 2012 | 29* | 2012 |
| FiveThirtyEight (website) N Silver | 29* | 2008 |
| A user’s guide to FiveThirtyEight’s 2016 general election forecast N Silver Fivethirtyeight Blog, 2016 | 28 | 2016 |
| Why FiveThirtyEight gave Trump a better chance than almost anyone else N Silver FiveThirtyEight, 2016 | 24 | 2016 |
| How popular is Donald Trump N Silver FiveThirtyEight. Accessed June 7, 2020 | 23* | 2020 |
| There really was a liberal media bubble N Silver FiveThirtyEight, March 14, 2017 | 23 | 2017 |
Andrew GelmanProfessor of Statistics and Political Science, Columbia UniversityVerified email at stat.columbia.edu
