| Modeling infectious disease dynamics in the complex landscape of global health H Heesterbeek, RM Anderson, V Andreasen, S Bansal, D De Angelis, ... Science 347 (6227), aaa4339, 2015 | 746 | 2015 |
| Impacts of climate change on plant diseases—opinions and trends M Pautasso, TF Döring, M Garbelotto, L Pellis, MJ Jeger European journal of plant pathology 133, 295-313, 2012 | 429 | 2012 |
| Eight challenges for network epidemic models L Pellis, F Ball, S Bansal, K Eames, T House, V Isham, P Trapman Epidemics 10, 58-62, 2015 | 230 | 2015 |
| Challenges in control of COVID-19: short doubling time and long delay to effect of interventions L Pellis, F Scarabel, HB Stage, CE Overton, LHK Chappell, E Fearon, ... Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 376 (1829), 20200264, 2021 | 171 | 2021 |
| Hospital length of stay for COVID-19 patients: Data-driven methods for forward planning B Vekaria, C Overton, A Wiśniowski, S Ahmad, A Aparicio-Castro, ... BMC Infectious Diseases 21, 1-15, 2021 | 170 | 2021 |
| Nine challenges for deterministic epidemic models M Roberts, V Andreasen, A Lloyd, L Pellis Epidemics 10, 49-53, 2015 | 170 | 2015 |
| Seven challenges for metapopulation models of epidemics, including households models F Ball, T Britton, T House, V Isham, D Mollison, L Pellis, GS Tomba Epidemics 10, 63-67, 2015 | 138 | 2015 |
| Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies RN Thompson, TD Hollingsworth, V Isham, D Arribas-Bel, B Ashby, ... Proceedings of the Royal Society B 287 (1932), 20201405, 2020 | 131 | 2020 |
| Reproduction numbers for epidemic models with households and other social structures. I. Definition and calculation of R0 L Pellis, F Ball, P Trapman Mathematical biosciences 235 (1), 85-97, 2012 | 116 | 2012 |
| Possible future waves of SARS-CoV-2 infection generated by variants of concern with a range of characteristics L Dyson, EM Hill, S Moore, J Curran-Sebastian, MJ Tildesley, KA Lythgoe, ... Nature Communications 12 (1), 5730, 2021 | 106 | 2021 |
| Using statistics and mathematical modelling to understand infectious disease outbreaks: COVID-19 as an example CE Overton, HB Stage, S Ahmad, J Curran-Sebastian, P Dark, R Das, ... Infectious Disease Modelling 5, 409-441, 2020 | 101 | 2020 |
| Seven challenges in modeling pathogen dynamics within-host and across scales JR Gog, L Pellis, JLN Wood, AR McLean, N Arinaminpathy, ... Epidemics 10, 45-48, 2015 | 98 | 2015 |
| Shut and re-open: the role of schools in the spread of COVID-19 in Europe HB Stage, J Shingleton, S Ghosh, F Scarabel, L Pellis, T Finnie Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 376 (1829), 20200277, 2021 | 80 | 2021 |
| Early epidemiological signatures of novel SARS-CoV-2 variants: establishment of B. 1.617. 2 in England R Challen, L Dyson, CE Overton, LM Guzman-Rincon, EM Hill, HB Stage, ... MedRxiv, 2021.06. 05.21258365, 2021 | 68 | 2021 |
| Is HIV short-sighted? Insights from a multistrain nested model KA Lythgoe, L Pellis, C Fraser Evolution 67 (10), 2769-2782, 2013 | 66 | 2013 |
| The effectiveness of social bubbles as part of a Covid-19 lockdown exit strategy, a modelling study T Leng, C White, J Hilton, A Kucharski, L Pellis, H Stage, NG Davies, ... Wellcome open research 5, 2020 | 65 | 2020 |
| Threshold parameters for a model of epidemic spread among households and workplaces L Pellis, NM Ferguson, C Fraser Journal of the Royal Society Interface 6 (40), 979-987, 2009 | 63 | 2009 |
| Modelling that shaped the early COVID-19 pandemic response in the UK E Brooks-Pollock, L Danon, T Jombart, L Pellis Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 376 (1829), 20210001, 2021 | 58 | 2021 |
| Transmission selects for HIV-1 strains of intermediate virulence: a modelling approach G Shirreff, L Pellis, O Laeyendecker, C Fraser PLoS computational biology 7 (10), e1002185, 2011 | 48 | 2011 |
| Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics ME Kretzschmar, B Ashby, E Fearon, CE Overton, J Panovska-Griffiths, ... Epidemics 38, 100546, 2022 | 47 | 2022 |
Thomas HouseDepartment of Mathematics, University of ManchesterVerified email at manchester.ac.uk
